The JAXA minimum arctic sea ice extent value for 2009 was 5249844 km2, which was recorded in September 13.
The final score for each contestant is the value of their Gaussian curve at 5249.844, and is listed in table 1.
Table 1: Contestant final scores and original guesses.
The results are plotted in figure 1.
If I recall correctly from the original comments, Hypocentre is a hard rock geologist, and the 2nd through 5th place winners were all climatologists.
Figure 1. Contestant curves and final 2009 minimum sea ice extent (red line).
Hypocentre, as the winner of the contest, may now nominate a topic for a future blog post (post nomination in comments, please).
Everyone else, tune in next (northern) summer solstice for the 2010 version of this contest.
Monday, October 05, 2009